Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.002316 0.002446 0.002585 0.002744 0.002923 0.003119 0.003352
2025-05-11 0.002111 0.002288 0.002485 0.002726 0.003014 0.003355 0.003798
2025-05-18 0.002012 0.002226 0.002474 0.002791 0.003196 0.003710 0.004444
2025-05-25 0.001897 0.002128 0.002405 0.002771 0.003260 0.003920 0.004940
2025-06-01 0.001792 0.002031 0.002324 0.002722 0.003272 0.004052 0.005350
2025-06-08 0.001748 0.002004 0.002326 0.002777 0.003429 0.004411 0.006213
2025-06-15 0.001703 0.001971 0.002315 0.002811 0.003556 0.004745 0.007155
2025-06-22 0.001637 0.001907 0.002258 0.002773 0.003568 0.004891 0.007787
2025-06-29 0.001576 0.001845 0.002198 0.002725 0.003557 0.004992 0.008365
2025-07-06 0.001525 0.001794 0.002151 0.002691 0.003564 0.005124 0.009086
2025-07-13 0.001446 0.001703 0.002044 0.002561 0.003398 0.004904 0.008775
2025-07-20 0.001410 0.001667 0.002012 0.002541 0.003417 0.005048 0.009582
2025-07-27 0.001396 0.001662 0.002025 0.002596 0.003575 0.005519 0.011875
2025-08-03 0.001364 0.001633 0.002002 0.002592 0.003631 0.005793 0.013872
2025-08-10 0.001355 0.001633 0.002022 0.002658 0.003821 0.006439 0.019080
2025-08-17 0.001324 0.001601 0.001993 0.002641 0.003854 0.006706 0.023178
2025-08-24 0.001288 0.001561 0.001949 0.002597 0.003825 0.006800 0.026483
2025-08-31 0.001278 0.001558 0.001961 0.002648 0.003997 0.007533 0.044995
2025-09-07 0.001264 0.001548 0.001962 0.002679 0.004132 0.008231 0.098765
2025-09-14 0.001235 0.001516 0.001927 0.002644 0.004118 0.008422 0.187813
2025-09-21 0.001206 0.001483 0.001889 0.002600 0.004079 0.008510 0.494252
2025-09-28 0.001181 0.001455 0.001858 0.002570 0.004067 0.008700 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001137 0.001398 0.001780 0.002450 0.003838 0.007982 0.371769